BFC Daugavpils vs Auda

Match Analysis & Predictions

Latvia: Virsliga

Mon, 19th Oct, 2026 • 15:00 Regular Season - 33
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
5th in table
DDLDW
- VS -
Upcoming
Auda Auda
3rd in table
WDWDW

Expert Prediction · Over/Under 3.5

Un 3.5 @ 1.44 (68% chance)

Double chance : draw or Auda
68% confidence

Match Odds · Bet365

Home Win

3.20 28% implied

Draw

3.50 25% implied

Away Win

1.90 47% implied

All Our Tips For This Match

Over/Under 3.5 Un 3.5 @ 1.44
Double Chance X2 @ 1.28
Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
10games
4BFC Daugavpils wins
2Draws
4Auda wins
2.5Goals per game
60%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda
26 Jul 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils
26 May 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 0 - 1 Auda
12 Apr 2026Virsliga Auda 2 - 3 BFC Daugavpils
05 Oct 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 Auda
20 Jul 2025Virsliga Auda 1 - 3 BFC Daugavpils
20 May 2025Virsliga Auda 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils
04 Apr 2025Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 Auda
26 Oct 2024Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Auda
04 Aug 2024Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Rīgas FS 322552 79:24 +55 80 WWDWD
2 Riga 322372 88:30 +58 76 WWWDD
3 Auda 321976 52:32 +20 64 WDWDW
4 FK Liepaja 3212713 43:46 -3 43 LDDDW
5 BFC Daugavpils 3211912 37:36 +1 42 WDLDL
6 Super Nova 3211516 31:45 -14 38 LWLLW
7 FS Jelgava 328816 34:53 -19 32 LLDLW
8 Grobiņa 3361116 25:56 -31 29 WLDDL
9 Tukums 325918 44:63 -19 24 LDLWL
10 Ogre United 334623 33:81 -48 18 LLWLD

Top scorers

Virsliga
1 PauloRiga 3goals 1assists 15apps
2 A. TraoreBFC Daugavpils 2goals 0assists 28apps
3 J. EdeFK Liepaja 2goals 0assists 12apps
4 R. ŠitjakovsSuper Nova 1goals 1assists 29apps
5 J. GeroldAuda 1goals 1assists 25apps
6 M. OšsSuper Nova 1goals 0assists 31apps
7 M. BadamosiRiga 1goals 0assists 29apps
8 O. RubenisAuda 1goals 0assists 29apps
9 Reginaldo RamiresRiga 1goals 0assists 28apps
10 A. AppiahAuda 1goals 0assists 13apps

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
BFC Daugavpils Draw Auda
Value spotted: BFC Daugavpils win at 3.20 (model 34% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 13.3%
0-1 12.1%
1-0 11.6%
0-0 10.5%
1-2 7.7%
2-1 7.3%

Expected goals: 1.1 BFC Daugavpils · 1.15 Auda

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score46%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
31%
Form
69%
33%
Attack
67%
50%
Defence
50%
43%
Goal model
57%
40%
Head to head
60%
46%
Goals
54%
40%
Overall
59%

Recent form

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10
11 Oct 2026Virsliga Ogre United 1 - 2 BFC Daugavpils W
19 Sep 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
13 Sep 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 1 - 2 Rīgas FS L
07 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 1 - 1 BFC Daugavpils D
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Grobiņa 1 - 0 BFC Daugavpils L
22 Aug 2026Virsliga Super Nova 0 - 0 BFC Daugavpils D
14 Aug 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 3 - 1 Ogre United W
08 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 0 Tukums W
01 Aug 2026Virsliga BFC Daugavpils 2 - 1 FS Jelgava W
6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
12 Oct 2026Virsliga FK Liepaja 2 - 3 Auda W
20 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 1 Rīgas FS D
16 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 Ogre United W
11 Sep 2026Virsliga Riga 2 - 2 Auda D
06 Sep 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 Grobiņa W
02 Sep 2026Cup BFC Daugavpils 2 - 2 Auda D
29 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 1 Super Nova D
25 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 1 - 0 FK Liepaja W
21 Aug 2026Virsliga Auda 3 - 0 Tukums W
17 Aug 2026Cup Auda 3 - 2 Grobiņa W

Season numbers

Virsliga 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
4
5
16-30'
8
5
31-45'
11
17
46-60'
10
4
61-75'
7
5
76-90'
13
0
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
5
5
31-45'
10
10
46-60'
5
6
61-75'
4
10
76-90'
5
BFC Daugavpils Auda

Side by side

BFC Daugavpils Auda
32 Played 32
11 Won 19
9 Drawn 7
12 Lost 6
1.2 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.1 Goals conceded per game 1
1.1 / 1.2 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 1.5
9 Clean sheets 13
10 Failed to score 3
4 Longest winning run 4
3-1 Biggest win 7-0
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/3 Penalties scored 3/4

What comes next

BFC Daugavpils
Auda (H) 19 Oct
FS Jelgava (A) 25 Oct
Tukums (H) 01 Nov
Super Nova (A) 08 Nov
Auda
BFC Daugavpils (A) 19 Oct
Ogre United (A) 25 Oct
FS Jelgava (H) 01 Nov
Tukums (A) 08 Nov
Riga (H) 20 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
BFC Daugavpils 3.20 31% implied
Draw 3.50 29% implied
Auda 1.90 53% implied
BFC Daugavpils 2.50 40% implied
Auda 1.50 67% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 13.00 8% implied
Over 1.5 1.22 82% implied
Under 1.5 4.00 25% implied
Over 2.5 1.70 59% implied
Under 2.5 2.10 48% implied
Over 3.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 3.5 1.44 69% implied
Over 4.5 4.50 22% implied
Under 4.5 1.17 85% implied
BFC Daugavpils/Draw 15.00 7% implied
BFC Daugavpils/Auda 23.00 4% implied
Draw/Auda 5.50 18% implied Our tip
Draw/Draw 6.00 17% implied
BFC Daugavpils/BFC Daugavpils 5.50 18% implied
Draw/BFC Daugavpils 8.00 13% implied
Auda/BFC Daugavpils 34.00 3% implied
Auda/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Auda/Auda 3.00 33% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied
No 2.10 48% implied
1:1 7.50 13% implied
0:1 9.00 11% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
0:2 10.00 10% implied
1:0 12.00 8% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:0 13.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
BFC Daugavpils/Draw 1.80 56% implied
BFC Daugavpils/Auda 1.22 82% implied
Draw/Auda 1.28 78% implied Our tip
BFC Daugavpils 3.75 27% implied
Draw 2.30 43% implied
Auda 2.50 40% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda: preview and prediction

BFC Daugavpils host Auda in the Latvia Virsliga (Regular Season - 33) on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 15:00 at Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils. BFC Daugavpils sit 5th in the table and Auda 3rd. Auda are 22 points ahead (64 to 42).

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
3 Auda 321976 52:32 +20 64
5 BFC Daugavpils 3211912 37:36 +1 42

Full Virsliga standings

BFC Daugavpils have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-D-W). Auda are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-W-D-W).

In the last 10 meetings, BFC Daugavpils won 4, Auda won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.15 for Auda. It gives Auda the edge (34% home win, 29% draw, 37% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Verdict: our pick is Un 3.5 at odds of 1.44. We also like Double Chance (X2).

BFC Daugavpils vs Auda FAQs

What is the best prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Our top tip is Over/Under 3.5: Un 3.5 (1.44 odds).

Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Auda are favourites: our model gives BFC Daugavpils 34%, the draw 29% and Auda 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 46% chance in our model, and it happened in 60% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is BFC Daugavpils vs Auda?

Kick-off is on Monday, 19th October 2026 at 15:00 at Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils.

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